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Home » Near-term Forecast

Near-term Forecast

by Joshua
January 29, 2012
in Uncategorized

East Africa: The risk of piracy remains high despite a dip in attacks and low success rates,
although the continuing northeast monsoon season will push attacks closer to shore, and into traditionally sheltered areas in the Gulf of Aden and southern Red Sea. A slight increase in attacks may occur as pirates are emboldened by high reported ransom payments and the first successful hijacking of a merchant vessel in eight weeks in December.

East Africa: The risk of piracy remains high despite a dip in attacks and low success rates,
although the continuing northeast monsoon season will push attacks closer to shore, and into traditionally sheltered areas in the Gulf of Aden and southern Red Sea. A slight increase in attacks may occur as pirates are emboldened by high reported ransom payments and the first successful hijacking of a merchant vessel in eight weeks in December.
West Africa: Fewer reported hijackings are likely as STS operations have been pushed to areas under control of the Togolese navy. Nonetheless, the risk of low level armed robbery remains pertinent, despite a lack of recorded incidents.
Asia: Mostly opportunistic attacks set to continue, with hijackings at sea still a risk.
Latin America: An increase in instances of low level armed robbery may be seen in response to the pressure being placed on criminal activity on land.

Source:  AKE GAC


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